Most
traders find themselves analyzing a currency pair for trading purposes on a
single time frame. While that is all well and good, a much more in depth
analysis can be accomplished by consulting several time frames on the same
pair. Think of it as trying to “size up” a person based on meeting them on one
occasion versus meeting them several times. You will have more insight
regarding both the person and the trade if you view them from more than one
vantage point.
Since a
currency pair is moving through multiple time frames at the same time, it is
beneficial for a trader to examine several of those time frames to determine
where the pair is in it “trading cycle” on each time frame. Ideally a trader
will want to postpone their entry until momentum in each time frame is
aligned…all bullish for an uptrend or all bearish for a downtrend.
The
entire process regarding trading in general and Multiple Timeframe Analysis
(MTFA) specifically begins by identifying the trend…the direction in which the
market has been moving the currency pair in question over time.
Many
traders will employ some aspect of Multiple Time Frame Analysis in their
trading.
A
question that comes up quite frequently regarding MTFA is how far apart the
time frames should be from one another. Here is an example of a question on
this topic from a recent webinar: “If I use the Daily, 4 hour and 1 hour
charts, could I then move down to the 5 minute chart for a scalp?”
While
Multiple Time Frame Analysis can be used in a wide variety of trading
strategies from shorter term to longer term, it is important to be sure that
the “spacing” of the chart time frames relate to each other.
For
example, while using the Daily chart to determine the trend on a pair and then
executing the trade from the 4 hour or the 1 hour chart, makes sense, throwing
a 5 minute chart into that mix is simply too much of a disconnect from the
other time frames.
The
Daily and the 4 hour frames of reference are simply too far removed from a 5
minute frame of reference. For example, there are 288 individual 5 minute time
periods in a 24 hour period. So we would be looking at a day’s worth of trading
data and trying to carve out 1/288th of that time period to determine our
entry. The 1 hour is closer to our objective but even then some might argue
that it still is a bit removed for our purposes.
Ideally
you want to achieve a balance so that the time frames of the charts are neither
too close nor too far apart from one another. We want them to be close enough
so that one time frame does have an impact on the others being used, yet not so
close that each time frame is a virtual clone of the others.
For
example, a Monthly, 6 hour, 5 minute chart array would simply have too much
separation and none of those time frames really have any direct impact on the
other. At the opposite extreme, a 30 minute, 29 minute, 28 minute chart array
would not be of any value either since each of the charts is a virtual
duplicate of the other. Consequently, the whole purpose of MTFA would be lost.
What we
teach is to space the time frames using roughly a 4:1 or 6:1 ratio. Notice how
this Daily, 4 hour, 1 hour scenario breaks down: a 4 hour chart is
1/6th of a Daily chart and 1 hour chart is 1/4th of a 4 hour chart.
You can
use any time frame you like as long as there is enough time difference between
them to see a difference in their movement.
You
might use:
Base Minor Major
|
1-minute
5-minute
30-minute
5-minute
30-minute 4-hour
15-minute
1-hour 4-hour
1-hour
4-hour daily
4-hour
daily weekly
and so
on.
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