Tim Racette: Creating a Trading Plan - Step by Step
This blog is purpose as my personal educational note, journal, observation, experienced, opinion and etc from around place that i think is useful to me that I've gather to this blog about Forex Trading. Disclaimer : The information provided is for general information only and is not intended to be relied upon by individual readers in making (or not making) specific investment decisions. Appropriate independent advice should be obtained before making any such decision.
BTricks
Custom Search
Showing posts with label Trading Plan. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Trading Plan. Show all posts
Thursday, December 6, 2012
Summary: Developing a Trading Plan
The
difference between making money and losing money can be as simple as trading
with a plan or trading without one. A trading plan is an organized approach to
executing a trading system that you've developed based on your market analysis
and outlook while factoring in risk management and personal psychology.
No matter
how good your trading plan is, it won't work if you don't follow it.
Traders who
follow a disciplined approach are the ones who survive year after year after
year. They can even have more losing trades than winning ones and still be
profitable because they follow a disciplined approach.
Here is a
summary of what the key benefits are:
Trading
that is simpler with a plan than it is without one.
Reduced
stress which means better health.
Ability to
gauge your performance, identify problems, and make corrections.
- A trading plan helps to prevent many psychological issues from taking root.
- A trading plan that is adhered to strictly will reduce the number of bad trades.
- A trading plan will help prevent irrational behavior in the heat of the moment.
- A trading plan enables you to control the only thing you can control... yourself!
- A trading plan will instill a large measure of discipline into your trading. Gamblers lack both discipline and a trading plan.
- A plan will enable you to trade outside your comfort zone. How many times have you let a loss run and cut a profit short because it was the comfortable thing to do? A plan, executed with discipline, will help to prevent this from happening.
A plan is your
GPS which will enable you to get from wherever you are now to wherever you want
to be: consistent profitability.
Your
trading plan is designed in such a way that if you do take a "wrong
turn", you will know about it very quickly and have the opportunity to
correct the problem before losses spiral out of control.
Always
remember that the trading plan is a work in progress.
As things
change, the trading plan must change, too. Assess your trading plan and
processes periodically, especially when you have changes in your financial or
life situation. Also, as your research leads to changes in your trading system
or methods, be sure to reflect those adjustments in your trading plan.
"Adapt
and survive!"
Remember,
the main purpose of the trading plan is to keep you on task, and to operate in
an effective and efficient manner to make good trading decisions. It is,
however, only as good as you make it, and it is completely useless if it is not
applied in practice.
Wednesday, December 5, 2012
Stick to the Plan
A trading
plan is only effective if it's followed. You have to stick to it. It sounds
simple to do. It is really just common sense but most traders still can't do
it. Why, oh, why?
Trader
incompatibility. A trading plan should be a personalized plan for you, a plan
that fits your own goals, risk tolerances, and individual lifestyle. You must
develop each component on an individual basis, never losing sight of the fact
that it must be custom tailored to YOU and YOUR needs.
Not your
girlfriend's. Not your boyfriend's. Not your basketball coach's. Not even
Ronald, your weirdo best friend whose head is shaped like a hamburger who likes
to wear pink polka dot pants and is an aspiring rapper.
Your
trading plan must be made based on reality, not on hope. If you're simply
trying to copy somebody else's trading plan or yours is based on false
assumptions, then you will not be compatible with it and will have trouble
following it.
Solution:
Be honest with yourself. Then revise your trading plan.
Trading
plans are intended to be long-term. Many traders give up on their trading plan,
or often more specifically, the trading system in the trading plan, after
suffering a string of losses rather than sticking it out through the inevitable
rough times.
Solution:
Be patient!
No
discipline: Trading according to a plan requires sticking to it through thick
and thin. That takes discipline. Rock solid discipline. Traders lacking
discipline do not stick to their trading plans. You need to be disciplined.
Rock solid. Does it sound like we're beating a dead horse? Well, good.
Solution:
Stay disciplined!
Self-destructive
behavior: Some traders have deeply ingrained psychological issues that will
sabotage them. This can be resolved with hard work on one's self, but the
trader must be self-aware of such issues first. You can't figure out a solution
if you don't know the root problem.
Solution:
Look in the mirror. Hopefully you don't turn to stone.
If you're
personally having trouble sticking to your trading plan, most likely it's one
of the reasons above. If it is, refer to the solution below it.
Weapons of Choice
What software,
hardware, and other tools will you use?
What
"toys" will you use for your trading profession?
Write down
the hardware, software, data feeds, and internet access that will comprise your
"trading desk."
Don't
forget backups! Make sure you have a backup plan for everything just in case
your main tools fail while you're in a trade. What if your computer crashes and
doesn't boot back up? What if your internet connection goes down? What if your
electricity goes out? (Laptop and aircard. Bam!) What if the Taylor Swift CD
you always listen to while trading keeps skipping? (Oh nooo! Not that!)
Finally,
don't get suckered by all the razzle-dazzle trading vendors (cough *scammers!*
cough) try to lure you with. Do you really need that $5,000 chart pattern
recognition software that displays in 3D IMAX? Didn't think so. Save your money
and use it for capital instead.
What
broker/platform will you use?
Where will
you execute your trades? It's not like you can call the bank and say, "I
want go long EUR/USD." Okay fine, you could have done this in the past,
but we're living in the 21st century now - time to get up to speed and use
those online platforms!
But it
isn't that simple. Make sure you know the ins and outs of broker you choose
from executing orders to depositing and withdraw money (hopefully profits,
right?).
Tuesday, December 4, 2012
Daily Pre-Market Routine
What
activities will you do BEFORE you start trading?
We don't
mean showering and brushing your teeth (although you should always take a
shower and brush your teeth.
Your
routine should help you accomplish the following tasks:
Reviewing
any open positions and making any necessary adjustments
Reviewing
yesterday's trades
Getting
yourself "up to speed" on the market
Identifying
any upcoming news that could cause volatility
Being ready
to trade when the next trading session opens
Determine
what the overall market sentiment is for the day, review yesterday's trades and
how the previous trading session finished, and maybe identify key market areas
like support and resistance.
Now it's
time to start trading your system!
Your
pre-market routine will be critical to your success as a trader. It will help
you plan your day so that you are not spending time during market hours
scrambling trying to figure out what news or data will be coming out, and what
to do if the market does something you didn't expect.
You want to
start your trading session feeling calm, relaxed, and prepared for whatever the
market throws at you.
Expectations
Which kind
of returns do you expect to make?
Ahhh. Of
course, anybody who's interested in trading certainly has ambitions of raking
in some dough. It make sense - trading involves risk, and we expect to be
compensated for those risks.
There's no
doubt that every trader expects to make profit.
The
question that you should ask yourself though is this:
What kind
of returns do you expect to make?
Your answer
to this question will play a huge role in determining what kind of trading
style you will implement, what currency pairs and times you will trade, and
most importantly, the risks involved in achieving your goals.
Let's look
at an example to help explain this better. Let's say there are two traders,
Bruce and Mike. Bruce is looking to score 10% a year while Mike is a little
more ambitious - he wants to DOUBLE his account and make 100% returns
As you can
imagine, a trader like Mike, who is looking to double his account, is in a very
different situation.
It is very
likely that Mike will have to take a lot more trades and/or risk more than
Bruce. He will have to expose himself to more potential losses if he ever wants
to achieve his goal of 100% returns.
Traders
will also have to take into consideration drawdowns.
A drawdown
is normally calculated as the distance from the highest value of your account
to next lowest point. (We'll explain this a little bit more in a following
lesson. For now, pay attention in class!)
Each trader
must decide how big of a drawdown he or she can accept in order to hit their
profit target goals.
On the one
hand, there are traders who are risk averse and would rather have small
drawdowns. The tradeoff is that this will also limit potential reward.
On the
other hand, there are traders who are comfortable with large drawdowns, just as
long as their system also yields huge returns.
You will
also have to take into consideration how much time you can dedicate to trading.
If you can't dedicate a significant amount of time working on your system,
reading up on the markets and learning new trading techniques,
recording/reviewing your journal, then we can guarantee you that you will have
a difficult time hitting your goals.
If you
can't make this time commitment, you may have to readjust your expectations as
to how much you can make your account grow.
In the end,
just know that success depends on YOU.
Do you have
the discipline to grind it out consistently to tweak your skills and gain the
experience needed to navigate the markets?
If you
don't, then expect inconsistent returns, if any at all, over the long term.
Lifestyle Considerations
How much
time each day/week/month (whichever is most appropriate) can you dedicate to
the various requirements of trading and managing a trading system?
Your time
availability will determine your trading style.
The shorter
the timeframe you are trading, the more time you need in front of the charts.
If you're a
day trader, since you're entering and exiting trades throughout the day, you
need to be glued to the screen the whole time.
The longer
the timeframe you trade, the less you have to watch the market. You can simply
check your trade from time to time.
Don't
forget about distractions!
When you
say you can trade for 8 hours a day, does that mean 8 hours of your undivided
attention staring at charts and analyzing economic data releases OR does that
mean 8 hours of staring at charts, analyzing economic data release, cooking
your Honeybun some breakfast, juggling knives, playing with your kids, watching
Justin Bieber on YouTube, following Lady Gaga on Twitter, stalking someone on
Facebook, and saving the world from the forces of evil?
Because if
you were a scalper, you'd probably missed a lot of entries and exits, and end
up instead scalping your own head due to your many losses or missed winning
opportunities.
You also
need to dedicate time to developing AND tweaking your trading system. Trading
your system will require you stare at charts looking for possible entries. Once
you're in a trade, you then need to manage it.
After you
exit, you need time to review your trade and look for ways to improve. And then
you need time to write everything you felt and did in your trading journal.
How much
time you'll need to accomplish all of this will depend on your trading system.
Naturally,
your trading system needs to factor in how much time you can dedicate.
This is all
assuming you only have ONE trading system.
You should
repeat this process for every trading system you wish to trade.
Whatever
"operating hours" you decide, just make sure you're able to commit to
it consistently.
Risk capital
What is
your risk capital? How much money can you trade with and afford to lose all of
it?
You need to
determine if you can even afford to trade.
Trading
should only be done with risk capital.
Risk capital
is money that you can lose.
This is the
kind of money that if you lost, you wouldn't lose your home, car, spouse,
limbs, electricity, etc.
If you're
playing with money that you need to pay the bills, it will have a huge negative
impact on your ability to make objective trading decisions.
Imagine how
stressed you'll be while your trade is open knowing you might not be able to
put on the food on the table if you get stopped out.
Every time
a pip goes against you, you'll be thinking, "There goes tomorrow's
lunch!"
You don't
want to end up starving, homeless, and broke now do you?
Unless you
do.
In that
case, go ahead and risk all your hard-earned money in forex.
Motivation and Goal Setting
What
motivates you to be a trader?
Is it to
become filthy rich? Is it for the thrill? Is it because you want to do
something challenging and exciting? Is it because the girl you like trades
currencies and you want to impress her?
It is
important to know what your true motivation is, or whether you should even be
trading at all. Traders who aren't serious or committed to the craft will be
quickly eliminated by the market.
For
example, seeking thrills and seeking consistent profits don't go together. You
might enjoy the thrill of putting on a humungous "I'm betting the
farm" position, but believe us, you won't be smiling once your trade blows
up in your face.
If thrills
are what you seek, go to the casino, jump out of a plane or try driving an F1
racing car.
Better yet,
if you want a real thrill, drive an F1 racing car out of a plane and land in a
casino. Now that's a real thrill! And you might even lose less money than if
you were trading.
This can be
expressed monetarily using a profit goal (either in currency or percent return)
per unit of time. For example, you might choose a goal like making
$4,223,834,145.53 per month, or achieving a 529% return every week.
This
doesn't necessarily have anything to do with money. Like "My goal for
trading is be able to buy them new Space Jam Jordan 11s so I can impress my
lady crush and she can fall in love with me and we can live happily ever
after."
Or "My
goal is to have enough money to have plastic surgery so that I can look like
Halle Berry and have everyone eating out of my hands."
Okay.
We lied.
Everything
has to do with money.
Whatever
you decide, just make sure it's specific and measurable. Set trading goals that
will help you develop as a trader.
It can't be
vague like "I want to be rich". Changing it to "I want to be
super rich." does not count.
Be
specific!
"I
want to make 1% every week."
"I
want to be winning 50% of the time by the end of this year."
"I
want to double my account in six months."
"I
don't want to make any trading mistakes for the day."
By making
your goals specific and measurable, not only will you know what you really
want, but you'll be able to monitor your progress and see whether you are
improving or not.
Getting to Know Yourself
The first
step in building a trading plan is to realistically take a holistic view of
yourself.
The
foundation of your trading plan starts with your self-reflection because you
will be the only one using it. This self-reflection will reveal your trader
profile, which is basically who you are as a trader.
Who you are
as a trader will define what kind of method suits you. Strategies, systems, and
methods which aren't compatible with your profile and style will drastically
lower your chances of success.
While most
traders want to immediately jump into creating or finding trading systems and
strategies, they won't know which ones match their personality and unique
situation if they don't spend some time on self-reflection first.
Before you
think about clicking the Buy or Sell button on your trading platform, there are
some questions you should ask yourself so that you can better form your trading
plan. While you're at it, you should write down these answers. Writing down
your answers will help remind you of what you're going to do and help make sure
you stick to the plan.
Justified vs. Unjustified
What's
wrong with deviating from your trading plan if you make a profit anyway?
Making an
occasional winning trade, even when you throw your trading plan out the window,
may provide short-term pleasure, but entering trades haphazardly can adversely
influence your ability to maintain discipline in the long term.
When you
stop following your trading plan, you become rewarded for lacking discipline
and you may start believing that abandoning a trading plan is no big deal.
An
unjustified reward may increase your tendency to abandon trading plans in the
future. You may be prone to think "I was rewarded once, maybe I will be
rewarded again. I'll take a chance." But the positive outcomes of
undisciplined trading are usually short-lived, and a lack of discipline ultimately
produces the long-term trading losses.
It's
important to distinguish justified wins from unjustified wins.
A justified
win is when you create a very detailed trading plan and FOLLOW the plan. A win
that results from following a trading plan is justified and reinforces
discipline.
An
unjustified win occurs when you make a plan but don't follow it or if you have
no plan at all. You might be rewarded, but the outcome occurred by chance. You
might as well flip a coin or hang a printed copy of your charts on the wall and
throw darts at it to help you make trading decisions. The win is unjustified
and can reinforce undisciplined trading.
Maintaining
discipline is vital for consistent and profitable trading. Trading is a matter
of getting the law of averages to work in your favor. You trade proven trading
strategies, over and over, so that across a series of trades, the strategies
work enough to produce an overall profit. It's like making shot after shot on
the basketball court so as to accumulate a winning number of points. The more
shots you take, the more likely you will amass points. Just look at Kobe Bryant
or Dwayne Wade.
The winning
player is the person who first develops the skill to make the shot
consistently, so that at every possible opportunity, the ball is likely to go
through the basket. They've developed the skill to learn how to shoot the ball
the same way every single time. Consistency is crucial!
It's the
same for trading. One must trade consistently, following a specific trading
plan on each and every single trade. If you trade one approach this time, and a
different approach at another time, your performance will more than likely be
haphazard.
We can't
stress this enough...
You have to
allow the law of averages to work in your favor, so that across a series of
trades, you will make an overall profit.
If you
follow the plan sometimes and abandon it at other times, you throw off the
probabilities, and you will most likely end up losing overall.
With
discipline comes profitability. Don't let unjustified wins interfere with your
ability to maintain discipline. Follow your own trading plan, and cement in the
mindset that if you follow your plan, you will end up more profitable in the
long run.
Now that
we're done explaining how important a trading plan is (can we stress this
enough?), it's time for you to learn what should go inside a good trading plan.
Why Do you Need a Trading Plan?
A trading
plan will make trading simpler than it would be if you traded without one.
Think of
when you use a GPS device. You enter where you want to go. It then figures out
where you currently are and then shows you how to get to where you want to go.
You're able to constantly check on your GPS to see if you're still on the right
track. When you make a wrong turn, it knows to make adjustments, and it points
you back in the right direction.
A trading
plan is your trading GPS. It will show you where you currently are as a trader
and help you get to your destination: consistent profitability.
Traveling
without a GPS wouldn't be smart idea. You wouldn't know how to get to your
destination and it's highly likely that you'll drive around lost like a chicken
with its head chopped off. You're probably thinking that one could use an
ancient object called "maps" instead, but we have no clue what that
is. Please don't make such absurd suggestions again.
Trading
without a trading plan would be the same thing as driving without a GPS--a bad
idea. You're trying to get to this Promised Land called "Consistent
Profits," but since you have no way of knowing whether you're headed in
the right direction, you'll most likely end up blowing out your account.
With a
trading plan, you're able to know if you're headed in the right direction.
You'll have a framework to measure your trading performance. And just like a
GPS, you're able to monitor this continually.
This allows
you trade with less emotion and stress.
Without a
trading plan, this would be nearly impossible. Instead, you'd be a "cowboy
trader", shooting from the hip, trading by the seat of your pants, relying
on your gut, guesses or signals from strangers. That ain't trading - that's
gambling!
Whenever
you trade, you'll probably end up a nervous, emotional wreck, crying yourself
to sleep as your rollercoaster account balance grinds at your psyche. (Okay
pretty drastic, but we think you get the picture).
Just as you
use a GPS to both figure out the route to be taken and to judge the progress
that has been made, your trading plan defines how you'll become consistently
profitable and tells you if you're on track.
Most
importantly, if you suck at trading (and you will in the beginning), you will
know it is down to one of only two reasons: either there's a problem in your
trading plan or you are not sticking to your trading plan.
If you're
trading without a plan, it's impossible to know what you're doing right from
wrong. You have no way to evaluate your results, so you'll never know how to
stop sucking.
We can't
emphasize this enough..."if you fail to plan, then you've already planned
to fail."
Obviously,
a trading plan doesn't guarantee success, but a good plan that is followed will
help you stay in the forex game longer than traders who don't having a trading
plan.
SURVIVAL is
better than failure and it should be your first goal as a newbie trader.
Remember,
90% of new traders don't make it. You want to be part of that special
"10%" that does make it.
You're
probably thinking, "Ba humbug! Trading plan, schmading plan. I can be part
of that 10% without a stinkin' trading plan!"
It may be
tempting to trade by the seat of your pants, but if you don't develop clearly
defined trading plans and be disciplined enough to follow them consistently,
you'll have much difficulty making consistent money as a trader.
Developing a Trading Plan
Developing
Your Own Trading Plan
All the
great conquerors we know of never went to war without a plan; neither should a
great trader.
Victorious warriors win first and
then go to war, while defeated warriors go to war first and then seek to win
Strategy without tactics is the
slowest route to victory. Tactics without strategy is the noise before defeat
He who knows when he can fight and
when he cannot, will be victorious
Sun Tzu
What is a
Trading Plan?
Now that
you're about half way through college, here's one piece of advice you should
always remember.
Be your own
trader.
Don't
follow someone else's trading advice blindly. Just because someone may be doing
well with their method, it doesn't mean it will work for you. We all have
different market views, thought processes, risk tolerance levels, and market
experience.
Have your
own personalized trading plan and update it as you learn from the market.
Developing
a Trading Plan and sticking to it are the two main ingredients of trading
discipline.
But trading
discipline isn't enough.
Even solid
trading discipline isn't enough.
It has to
be rock solid discipline.
We repeat:
rock solid. Like Jacob Black's abs.
Plastic
solid discipline won't do. Nor will discipline made from straws and sticks.
We don't
want to be little piggies. We want to be successful traders!
And having
rock solid trading discipline is the most important characteristic of
successful traders.
A trading
plan defines what is supposed to be done, why, when, and how. It covers your
trader personality, personal expectations, risk management rules, and trading
system(s).
When
followed to, a trading plan will help limit trading mistakes and minimize your
losses. After all, "if you fail to plan, then you've already planned to
fail."
A trading
plan removes any bad decision making in the heat of the moment. Your emotions
can consume you when money is on the line, causing you to make irrational
decisions. You don't want that to happen.
The best
way to prevent it from happening is to minimize (notice we did not say
eliminate) thinking by having a plan for every potential market action.
With the
right trading plan, every action is spelled out, so that in the heat of the
moment you don't have to make any rash decisions. You just simply stick to your
trading plan.
Before we
continue, we have to quickly distinguish the difference between a trading plan
and a trading system.
A trading
system describes how you will enter and exit trades. A trading system is part
of your trading plan but is just one of several important parts, i.e.,
analysis, executions, risk management, etc. Since market conditions are always
changing, a good trader will usually have two or more trading systems in his or
her trading plan.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)
.jpg)
.jpg)
.jpg)
.jpg)
.jpg)

.jpg)
.jpg)
.jpg)
.jpg)
.jpg)
.jpg)
.jpg)